ANALYSIS: No. 55: Presidential Elections in Azerbaijan (css.ethz.ch)

Author(s): Rashad Shirinov, Shahin Abbasov, Farid Guliyev
Editor(s): Denis Dafflon, Lili Di Puppo, Iris Kempe, Natia Mestvirishvili, Matthias Neumann, Robert Orttung, Jeronim Perović, Heiko Pleines
Series: Caucasus Analytical Digest (CAD)
Issue: 55
Publisher(s): Center for Security Studies (CSS), ETH Zurich; Research Centre for East European Studies, University of Bremen; Institute for European, Russian and Eurasian Studies, George Washington University
Publication Year: 2013

(css.ethz.ch) This issue examines the presidential elections of October 2013 in Azerbaijan. The first two articles provide an overview of the election strategies of both the ruling party and the opposition. Rashad Shirinov writes about the “stealth strategy” of the ruling party in which the incumbent, President Ilham Aliyev, did not campaign at all and the state-controlled media did not mention the opposition, leaving the public rather uninformed about the upcoming elections. Shahin Abbasov deals with the opposition, which for the first time managed to unite and participate in the elections with a broad coalition and a single candidate. Finally, Farid Guliyev analyses the meaning of these elections for different actor groups in Azerbaijan, concluding that, even though the outcome was predictable, the elections nevertheless fulfilled important functions for President Aliyev, the ruling party, and the opposition.

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Think Tank: Nr. 43: Parliamentary Elections in Georgia (css.ethz.ch/publications/CAD)

(css.ethz.ch) This issue examines Georgia's historic October 2012 parliamentary elections in which power passed peacefully to the opposition for the first time in the country's history. Giorgi Kldiashvili examines the course of the campaign, including the impact of the prison scandal. David Sichinava provides an overview of the regional breakdown of the results, stressing the rural urban divide between the two parties that won parliamentary representation. Cory Welt examines the prospects for democratic development in the aftermath of the election. Finally, Niklas Nilsson considers the international implications. The relatively free and fair elections likely improve Georgia's relations with the West and potentially open the door to better relations with Russia as well.

The President in Opposition: Georgia’s 2012 Parliamentary Elections 2
By Giorgi Kldiashvili, Tbilisi

DOCUMENTATION
The Results of the Georgian Parliamentary Elections 5

Shades of Red and Blue—Regional Characteristics of Georgia’s 2012 Parliamentary Elections 7
By David Sichinava, Tbilisi

MAP
Results of Geo-Statistical Analysis of Voting Behavior 10

Can Georgia Become A Multiparty Democracy? 13
By Cory Welt, Washington

OPINION POLL
Georgian Public Opinion on the Quality of the Parliamentary Elections (August 2012) 15

International Implications of Georgia’s Parliamentary Elections 17
By Niklas Nilsson, Washington

CHRONICLE
From 24 September to 22 October 2012 20

Autor(en): Giorgi Kldiashvili, David Sichinava, Cory Welt, Niklas Nilsson

Herausgeber: Robert Orttung

Serie: Caucasus Analytical Digest (CAD)

Ausgabe: 43

Verlag(e): Center for Security Studies (CSS), ETH Zurich; Research Centre for East European Studies, University of Bremen; Institute for European, Russian and Eurasian Studies, George Washington University

Publikationsjahr: 2012 

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ANALYSIS: The Role of the EU in the South Caucasus

Author(s): Franziska Smolnik, Sebastian Mayer, Gevorg Ter-Gabrielyan, Badri Kochoradzem, Anar Mammadli 
Editor(s): Lili Di Puppo, Hans Gutbrod, Iris Kempe, Matthias Neumann, Robert Orttung, Jeronim Perović, Heiko Pleines
Publisher(s): Center for Security Studies (CSS), Zurich, Switzerland, Jefferson Institute, Washington, DC, USA, Heinrich Böll Foundation, Tbilisi, Georgia, Research Centre for East European Studi, Bremen, Germany 
Date of publication: 15 Feb 2012 
Issue number: 35
Pages: 22 
Series: Caucasus Analytical Digest 

Description: This issue examines the role of the EU in the South Caucasus by analyzing recent developments in its policies and their impact in the three South Caucasus countries. Smolnik examines the EU’s conflict resolution policies in the region, in particular the “non-recognition and engagement” strategy towards Abkhazia and South Ossetia and the possibilities of its extension to Nagorno Karabakh, and argues that the EU has not capitalized enough on its standing as a neutral mediator so far. Mayer studies variations in the alignment of the South Caucasus countries with the EU’s Common and Foreign Security Policy (CFSP) and observes that alignment is high where material benefits exist. Ter-Gabrielyan analyzes the EU’s support to civil society in the South Caucasus by reflecting on the lessons learned in the participation of a group of Armenian NGOs in the Eastern Partnership Civil Society Forum and concludes that in order for the Civil Society Forum to have an impact, the NGOs must themselves have a strong commitment to high ethical and professional standards. Kochoradze examines the potential of the Deep and Comprehensive Free Trade Agreement (DCFTA) between the EU and Georgia to foster Europeanization and observes that Georgia’s commitment to a European path needs to go beyond security considerations and fully embrace the European model if the country wants to reap the benefits of the DFCTA. Mammadli analyzes the potential of the Eastern Partnership policies to foster human rights and democracy in Azerbaijan and concludes that the EU’s political support is needed to ensure the genuine participation of civil society and political parties in the Eastern Partnership that goes beyond technical assistance programs.

General note: © 2012 Center for Security Studies (CSS), Heinrich Böll Foundation, Resource Security Institute (RSI), Research Centre for East European Studies (FSOE) 

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Source: res.ethz.ch

SCIENCE: Caucasus Analytical Digest - No.24: The Political System in Azerbaijan (res.ethz.ch)

Author(s): Andreas Heinrich, Hannes Meissner Editor(s): Iris Kempe, Matthias Neumann, Robert Orttung, Jeronim Perović, Lili Di Puppo Publisher(s): Center for Security Studies (CSS), Zurich, Switzerland, Jefferson Institute, Washington, DC, USA, Heinrich Böll Foundation, Tbilisi, Georgia, Forschungsstelle Osteuropa (FSOE), Bremen, Germany Date of publication: 11 Feb 2011 Issue number: 24 Pages: 22 Series: Caucasus Analytical Digest

Description: This issue of the Caucasus Analytical Digest discusses the formal political system and the informal political dynamics in Azerbaijan. The paper is supplemented by a statistical overview of how Azerbaijan’s political system compares in country rankings and public opinion polls in Azerbaijan on the political system in this country. General note: © 2011 Center for Security Studies (CSS), Heinrich Böll Foundation, Resource Security Institute (RSI), Forschungsstelle Osteuropa (FSOE)

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Reports in Chronological Order
No.24: The Political System in Azerbaijan
No 23: Urban Spaces – Public and Private
No. 22: Stalinist Terror in the South Caucasus
No. 21: Gender Politics in the South Caucasus
No. 20: Religion in the South Caucasus
No. 19: Future Scenarios for the South Caucasus
No. 18: The South Caucasus After the Global Economic Crisis
No. 17: The Political Systems of the South Caucasus Countries
No. 16: The Political Economy of Oil in Azerbaijan
No. 15: The Internet in the South Caucasus
No. 14: Literature in the Caucasus
No. 13: US-Caucasus Relations - Attitudes towards the West
No. 12: Civil Society
No. 11: Armenian-Turkish Relations
No. 10: The EU Investigation Report on the August 2008 War and the Reactions From Georgia and Russia
No. 9: Organized Crime and Illegal Trafficking in the Caucasus
No. 8: Writing National Histories: Coming to Terms with the Past
No. 7: Abkhazia
No. 6: The Caucasus in the Global Financial Crisis
No. 5: NATO and the South Caucasus
No. 4: Migration, Refugees and IDPs
No. 3: Energy
No. 2: Democracy in the South Caucasus
No. 1: Perspectives on the Georgian-Russian War

ANALYSIS: Gender Politics in the South Caucasus (res.ethz.ch)

Author(s): Ketevan Chkheidze, Yuliya Aliyeva Gureyeva

Editor(s): Iris Kempe, Matthias Neumann, Robert Orttung, Jeronim Perović, Lili Di Puppo

Publisher(s): Center for Security Studies (CSS), Zurich, Switzerland, Jefferson Institute, Washington, DC, USA, Heinrich Böll Foundation, Tbilisi, Georgia, Forschungsstelle Osteuropa (FSOE), Bremen, Germany

Date of publication: 30 Nov 2010

Issue number: 21 Pages: 15 Series: Caucasus Analytical Digest

Description: This issue of the Caucasus Analytical Digest examines gender politics in the South Caucasus. It provides insights into gender politics in Georgia and policy attitudes towards women in Azerbaijan as well as statistical information on gender, gender stereotypes and parenting in the region. General note: © 2010 Center for Security Studies (CSS), Heinrich Böll Foundation, Resource Security Institute (RSI), Forschungsstelle Osteuropa (FSOE)

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SCIENCE: Caucasus Analytical Digest - No. 20: Religion in the South Caucasus (res.ethz.ch)

Author(s): Robia Charles, Harutyun Harutyunyan, Kimitaka Matsuzato, Ruslan Baramidze
Editor(s): Iris Kempe, Matthias Neumann, Robert Orttung, Jeronim Perović, Lili Di Puppo
Publisher(s): Center for Security Studies (CSS), Zurich, Switzerland, Jefferson Institute, Washington, DC, USA, Heinrich Böll Foundation, Tbilisi, Georgia, Forschungsstelle Osteuropa (FSOE), Bremen, Germany

Date of publication: 11 Oct 2010
Issue number: 20
Pages: 18

Series: Caucasus Analytical Digest

Description: This issue of the Caucasus Analytical Digest examines the importance of religion in the South Caucasus. First, Robia Charles examines the nature of religiosity in Armenia, Azerbaijan and Georgia. Second, Harutyun Harutyunyan analyzes the role of the Armenian church during military conflicts, arguing that the Armenian church legitimized the use of violence, especially during the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict (1988–1994). Third, Kimitaka Matsuzato assesses the strategies for survival of the Orthodox communities in Transnistria, Abkhazia, and South Ossetia. Finally, Ruslan Baramidze examines the differences among Muslim communities in highland and lowland areas of the Autonomous Republic of Adjara.

General note: © 2010 Center for Security Studies (CSS), Heinrich Böll Foundation, Resource Security Institute (RSI), Forschungsstelle Osteuropa (FSOE)
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STUDIES: No.5 NATO and the South Caucasus (isn.ethz.ch)

By Ahto Lobjakas, Archil Gegeshidze, Alexander Iskandaryan

This issue of the Caucasus Analytical Digest provides analyses of NATO's potential role in the South Caucuses, post-war Georgian Euro-Atlantic aspirations and the relations between NATO and Armenia. Further, it features opinion polls on Georgian popular opinion on NATO membership and policy priorities in the South Caucasus as well as a chronicle of NATO-Georgia relations for the period 1992-2009.

© 2009 Center for Security Studies (CSS), Heinrich Böll Foundation, Jefferson Institute, Forschungsstelle Osteuropa (FSOE)

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Series: Caucasus Analytical Digest

RESEARCH: No.4 Migration, Refugees and IDPs (pdf)

Author: Teona Mataradze, Florian Mühlfried, Milena Baghdasaryan, Sergey Markedonov

This issue of the Caucasus Analytical Digest examines population flows in the region. It looks at labor migration in Georgia and refugee challenges in Armenia. The issue discusses the role and importance of Caucasus societies for Russia. It also provides statistics on migration from and to the countries of the South Caucasus between 1990 and 1998, remittance flows and refugees.

© 2009 Center for Security Studies (CSS), Heinrich Böll Foundation, Jefferson Institute, Forschungsstelle Osteuropa (FSOE)

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Series: Caucasus Analytical Digest

Publisher:

Center for Security Studies (CSS), Zurich, Switzerland

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Jefferson Institute, Washington, DC, United States

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Heinrich Böll Foundation, Berlin, Germany

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Forschungsstelle Osteuropa (FSOE), Bremen, Germany

STUDIES: No. 56: Russia’s Energy Relations with its Caspian Neighbors (isn.ethz.ch)

This issue of the Russian Analytical Digest examines the energy dimension of Russia’s foreign policy. Specifically, it considers Russia’s energy relations with Azerbaijan, its role in the Karabakh conflict and relations with Kazakhstan in the context of energy transportation and military cooperation with NATO. Further, it considers the international context of energy relations between Russia and Turkmenistan. Additionally, this issue presents maps on major oil and natural gas pipelines in Central Asia and around the Caspian Sea as well as statistics on Russian oil and gas reserves, production and consumption in international comparison.

© 2009 Forschungsstelle Osteuropa, Center for Security Studies (CSS), German Association for East European Studies (DGO)

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Author:

Heidi Kjærnet, Stina Torjesen, Indra Overland

Series:

Russian Analytical Digest

Issue:

56

Publisher:

Center for Security Studies (CSS), Zurich, Switzerland

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Forschungsstelle Osteuropa (FSOE), Bremen, Germany

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German Association for East European Studies (DGO), Berlin, Germany