Tuesday, May 05, 2009

ARTICLE: Will There Be a Second Crimean War? By Andreas Umland (pendemocracy.net)

Escalation of the Russian-Ukrainian quarrel over Crimea could destabilise European security

The Caucasus war of August 2008 was a shock to Russian-Western relations. The West's timid reaction to the five-day conflict and to Russia's de facto annexation of two Georgian provinces do not bode well for the future of European security. The recent renewal of friendly relations between Moscow and Washington and the current rapprochement between President Dmitry Medvedev and the liberal Russian intelligentsia may give reason for hope, but a major source of instability in northern Eurasia remains in place.

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